Recently in Essay Category
The Hall of Badassitude....
Every week Ben Thompson writes a wonderfully twisted story about his bad ass of the week....
From Mythical to Fictional to true historical and modern figures. These are his bad asses - your mileage might vary, but there's something for everyone.
Enjoy his take on Paul Atreides, Audey Murphy, Johnny Cash, Australia and dozens more. Worth your time.
Found from following links starting on Cowboy Blob
His comments on the untouchables are priceless. I still don't know where I fit, but I must be in there cuz i'm not especially unhappy. ...for it is difficult to be happy if one spends one’s life on the wrong path. As the Buddhists say, “another man’s dharma is a great bummer,” or something like that. I haven't been a warrior for 35 years, I'm not purely intellectual, I create little of anything, nor am I expecially a rebel, so I guess Laborer is the ticket. Well I like my work, get antsy when I'm not doing it, and can make piles of money at it - so I guess I'm in my spot. That's a load off my mind.
I find it impossible to disagree with Sharp Knife's logic.
A look at the Sanctuary of the Uniform, the Sanctuary of Surrender, Sanctuary of Mercy, And The Sanctuary of Safe Haven...all as they relate to the wars America has fought. Bill covers a lot of territory including Iraq, the clash of civilizations, and where America seems to be heading. Always the best read on the internet. I bought his book of essays.
Hmmmm, the blue states have seriously declining birth rates, while the red states are increasing their birth rates. Some countries in Europe will see a 50% decline before 2050. I wonder who will take up the slack? Can you say 3rd world immigrants?
Read it all After the Jump...it's great!
Bill Whittle has his new chapter out...It's a Trap.
...some people see bad men doing bad things that must be stopped.
...others see disadvantaged individuals victimized by cultural and economic paradigms of inequality that force them into involuntary self-destructive behavioral modalities that are predicated on and the result of external dynamics beyond their control or cognitive abilities, resulting in behavior modification protocols that are aimed at recovering basal self-esteem levels while providing the disadvantaged individual skill sets essential to their reintegration into the community and a return to standardized norms of societal interaction.
Sent to me by Jim Wardwell
By WAYNE ANGELL
March 25, 2004; Page A16
Robert Rubin will never admit it, but the recession that began in the third quarter of 2000 was the direct result of the Clinton administration's attempt to pay down the federal debt. The Clintonites did this, you'll remember, by leaving tax rates high enough from 1995 to 2000 so as to direct a larger and larger share of the surge in growth of personal income to be paid in federal taxes. In the four quarters from the second quarter of 1999 to the second quarter of 2000 individual income tax receipts of the federal government increased by 11.4% -- exactly twice the 5.7% growth rate of personal income.
an excerpt....
Only hysteria, an outburst of emotion and fear, could produce the irrational response of the Congress and the public to the supposed danger of federal debt left to our children and grandchildren. Save your outbursts for reining in the growth rate of government spending. Then we will be able to keep tax rates conducive to faster increases in output and thereby add to both the well-being of our people and to future tax receipts available to the Congress.
Read the whole thing....
An excellent essay by Charles Krauthammer. The Last SuperPower in a dangerous world...
What to do, what to do?
Isolationism
Liberal Internationalism
Realism
Democratic Globalism
Democratic Realism...
Fortune.com - Technology - The Pentagon's Weather Nightmare
As a non-practicing marine zoologist (BS-'68), I have always been wary of doomsayers and purveyors of junk science. Hysteria over Global Warming never made any sense to me. I was learning about global environmental cycles as they relate to zoological survival pressures almost 40 years ago...these cycles have always been with us (and before we were here). The latest was in the 1800s - (remember all the Ives etchings of London under snow...it doesn't snow in London any more). The "hole in the ozone" over Antartica has always been there...it gets bigger and smaller, but it was "discovered" by us, not created by us.
Hard evidence shows quite regular climatic changes over (quite long) time. Hard evidence shows a predictable cooling trend ending about a hundred years ago. Hard evidence shows a 1 degree warming trend over the past hundred years with no predicted biological die-off. Hard evidence predicts a coming (mini) ice-age. Maybe global warming is a good thing.
Without hard evidence to base their portents of DOOOOOOM on, those with an agenda turn to junk science. I have watched this stuff (as a hobby) for 40 years and have yet to see anything that is disrupting the normal 500 year cycle of cooling/warming. Hell, when the 100000 year cycle of major iceage gets here you will certainly know it.
The Pentagon is tasked with creating scenarios for every eventuality. Here is their take on the a possible "instant iceage".
Kim du Toit has an essay called "The pussification of the Western Male".
Fucking A.
I used to drink, smoke, chase girls, shoot guns, took the bus alone into NYC from Jersey, climbed trees, explored caves, did chores, took weeklong survival hikes, came face-to-face with bears, walked wilderness trails, hunted, skinny dipped, got mugged, could set a bone, fished, camped, got my ass kicked, kicked ass, and played at war. All before I was 12.
I have a couple degrees, but all I can remember are the parties. I blew things up for a living in the service, had a bitch wife "dear john" me a year after I enlisted, was a very bad boy for a while, met SHE, and pretty much can only remember the parties. My personal interests are guns, cars, dogs, and computers. I am pro-gun and pro-choice. I have been in jail. I am always armed. The doctor says no more parties.
Gay women don't bother me (hell, I like women too).
Gay men are incomprehensible.
Being in the midst of armed men does not make me uncomfortable, lawyers and politicians do.
Storms, loud noises, and bumps in the night do not make me uncomfortable, but "does this dress make me look fat" breaks me out into a cold sweat.
I know for a fact that I can stay calm when things go to shit, but I don't know (or care) what tie goes with what shirt. SHE and Man pick my clothes out so I don't look too dorky.
I know very little about art, music, design, or the proper use of color (it doesn't help to be somewhat colorblind), SHE tells me what looks good and what looks bad (like my ripped jeans).
I have tried (sometimes successfully) to be a good father and tried to be (several times) a good husband. The only serious complaints I hear are that I am stubborn.
The upshot is that my children love me, women trust me and feel safe with me, my peers respect me. All my enemies are dead.
I refuse to change.
It was fun being out here in California for the recall. The run up to the election saw everyone with an opinion. I admit to being curious if that would actually translate into people getting out to vote...but the turnout was a record for this state.
I thought the last minute "grope-anator" stuff was heavy handed, and no-one out here seemed to take it seriously (except the LA Times). The rest of it was just too much...a porno queen, a guy painted blue, an ex-child star, the owner of Hustler...and on and on. So typically left coast. I was very suprised it ended as quick as it did, and that Arnie won so big.
For all their post-election spin and bluster, the Donks really took it big time. Over 60% of the voters went for Arnold or McClintock (the machine Republican candidate). I'm not sure that the Republicans really can see this as a victory either. Hell, fully half the votes went to the middle with only a bit over 10% to the red and 30% to the blue. The other 150+ mondo bizarro hopefulls pulled 3% of the vote in toto.
I read that a pundit called this a victory for the "eagle" party. That is defined as voters who are fiscal conservatives, racially tolerant, and desirous of a strong defence. Sounds about right...the great middle. You certainly can't call either mainstream party fiscally conservative, and they both play the race card.
California just seemed sick of politics as usual. Something we could learn in New Jersey, I think. The stupidist quote of the day was a young woman (from Berkeley, of course) who said she was tired of the Republicans trying to steal elections in California (?). What the fuck does that mean! The Donks have had this state for the past 4 governors...including both houses of their legislature. Besides it was a fucking landslide election.
Most of it was fun. There was only one Donk that really puked me out with his "after election" comments....Jesse Jackson. He complained bitterly that there weren't enough voting machines in LA county in the black communities. He was reminded by a TV interviewer that Kalifornia has been Donk since Reagan so who's fault was that? Jackson fucks up everything he comes near. If I was running for office I would keep him as far away from me as possible. He makes me queasy. Sharpton is at least entertaining.
One thing I found interesting. When Davis gave his little speech to his troops after getting smashed, he was standing next to this guy Torres who is the State Democratic Chair. Torres had a look on his face that bespoke a deep and abiding disgust and hatred for Davis (who is not known out here for being a nice guy). It tickles me when they let the masks slip.
HAPPY ANNIVERSARY
Okay, the day is still young, and God knows what mischief may yet be in store. But I can’t help being amazed at how well we have done in these first two years of what we all knew would be a new world, back on that beautiful morning, a world ago.
Despite the best efforts of news media to portray us as a terrified, angst-ridden nation ready to fall apart with just one more good poke…despite desperate attempts to undo unparalleled victories for political gain…despite hysterical warnings of Islamic rage and retribution, we have gone two years now, knock wood, without a single terrorist attack on US Soil.
Who could have thought such success possible on that first evening? How many of us went to sleep expecting to hear in the morning of new and more terrible attacks on September 12th, or 13th? How is it possible to forget that first Thanksgiving, or Christmas, sure that the symbolism was just too great for our enemies to pass up? And then New Years. Superbowl Sunday. 4th of July. Elevated threat levels. Dire warnings on muffled audiotapes.
Nothing.
This is quagmire? This is a debacle?
Say what you want about George W. Bush and his policies – that is of course your right. But consider this, all you defeatists and self-haters out there: it is barely possible, mathematically, to tie the President’s record for defending this country from a new terrorist horror. You cannot – not even hypothetically – improve upon it. This is a fact that is undeniable and so obvious that only a few will see it.
And at what cost? Did jackbooted storm troopers descend in the night from black helicopters to take away those voicing dissent? Or do the most vile and baseless accusations fly hither and yon, blown ever larger by a terrified and complicit media elite? Did hundreds of thousands of Muslims have their businesses torched, their families terrorized and beaten, the rest hauled off to concentration camps, or are you far safer, both physically and emotionally, as a Muslim in the US then you would be in any middle eastern country – safer and less harassed, without question – than Jews are in France today? Have we given up our liberty and lifestyle for this perfect record, or do we still go to football games and shopping malls and fly, more or less, the way we used to?
What, indeed, has this victory cost us to date, other than the irreplaceable lives of our young men and women, fewer in number still after two earth-changing victories than the number lost in a Beirut barracks during a time of relative peace and hidden yet growing dangers?
Today, if it continues in its bland denunciations of the President and his policies, will be another day where New Yorkers can go back to suing each other over WTC memorials, where the Democrats can cry WMD and Quagmire to their heart’s content, and where life in general returns 1/730th of the way back to normal once again. For those too blind to see the magnitude of this victory, let them whine and seethe all they want. We are still here. We are still here, and far better off, then we were two years ago today, when entire countries were vast terror camps, and children’s cemeteries.
The people that launched that horror, and those that supported it, and those that applauded it – that dwindling number of those of them that are still alive – have, to put it plainly, had their asses handed to them by the country they saw as soft, decadent, gutless and afraid.
And we have been blessed with a President who for all his faults, gaffes, mistakes and compromises has nevertheless maintained the one simple, essential, necessary character trait needed to fight -- and win -- a war against ruthless enemy and the armies of useful idiots that rally to its defense: single-minded determination and an utter disregard for criticism from those who should know better. For all his many manifest failures, it is hard to imagine a politician less effected by the legions of hysterical people determined to put off this fight. In my eyes, he has not tired, he has not faltered, and he has not failed.
Much remains to be done. Many more horrors undoubtedly await. But we have made a decision to fight back, and we are winning on such a scale as to leave future historians shaking their heads in wonder at how so many could be so wrong about something so obvious.
So, it is indeed a Happy Anniversary, tasteless as it sounds. Take a moment, today – take a long moment – and imagine how just how much worse things could have gone.
I was going to write about 911, but I'm just not good enough to express my feelings on paper. Then I found an entry on the Rachel Lucas Blog that sums it up for me....
Rachel writes.....
I can't write like this, but hopefully Mr. Lileks won't mind if I share his brilliance with you here.
For background, some jackass wrote the following on Metafilter: "What the hell does [James Lileks] have to be angry about? He's Caucasian, male, and living in the richest nation in the world. He has more opportunities in one day than a Third World citizen has in a lifetime. Is he being targeted because of his ethnicity? Is he being thrown into a camp and being repeatedly raped? Is he being buried alive in a pit by hateful condotierres paid a pack of cigarettes a day? The 9/11 victimhood seems to me an excuse for the Angry White Male to make a comeback. Except this time it seems to be justified, even if you weren't anywhere near the WTC. And that's the sick cancer festering within the American psyche."
Ah-hem. Nobody could respond to that like Lileks...
Angry? Almost two years later I’m still f*#king furious about it, if you want to know the truth. I’m not sure what emotion these people want me to have. An appropriate amount of sadness mixed with an appropriate amount of shame mixed with a soupcon of perspective and a dram of self-hatred? Can you send me the precise recipe, please? Because from where I stand, I see the two forces I thought the left deplored: religious intolerance and fascism. Together at last! Swirled into one cone! If Kluxers had flown planes into the UN building, these people would be insisting that America was bubbling over with millions of Bubbanazis, and the failure of the networks to mount Second Anniversary specials would be proof that the media secretly embraced the White Power agenda.
Again, I’ll ask the question: when did I overdo it? January 14, 2002? August 23rd 2003, 11:34 AM? Was that the point at which we were supposed to pack it all away in a box and store it in the attic with the newspapers and Time magazines? I pass a house every day that still has a Wellstone! sign in the front window. Should I knock on their door, and ask why they have the sign up? They’re white, male, living in the land of opportunity. Stop grieving. Stop it!
Wellstone died almost a year ago - by accident. Three thousand people died by design that day. Only a fool couldn’t help noticing what it meant: they want us all dead. They want a world in which my daughter is a slave - and even though they’ll never get it, they will kill someone else’s daughter a half a continent away just to make their point. They want a world in which there is no US, and the Bosnias and Rwandas are not only commonplace, but proof that their god is ascendant.
Sorry. No. I want a world where those who choose Western ideas can flourish and thrive. And by “Western” I mean that raped girls aren’t stoned. Gays aren’t crushed by rocks. Public cleavage doesn’t get you whipped. Jews and Lutherans and Sufis can sit on a bus together and it’s no big deal. Where citizens decide that if they don’t like their government, they try it again - and the recall pits an Austrian immigrant against a native-born man of Hispanic origin.
"The 9/11 victimhood seems to me an excuse for the Angry White Male to make a comeback. Except this time it seems to be justified, even if you weren't anywhere near the WTC. And that's the sick cancer festering within the American psyche."
There you go. The problem isn’t Islamist fascism. It’s the sick cancer of men with low melanin concentrations who can’t forget that picture of two strangers - one Asian, one Black - embracing in sobs in a bodega as the smoke and dust rolled down the street. This is why I left Metafilter right after 9/11. They don’t mind if you’re angry. You can be angry about important things, like Microsoft security lapses and Ashcroft crusades. But 200 stories of skyscraper falling to the ground? Thousands dead, ten thousand orphaned, ten million mourning?
Dude. Get a grip.
Part of an Essay by Kim Du Toit
The history of the fall of the Third Republic gives us an invaluable means to identify the traitors in our midst today, little more than half a century later.
And I use the word "traitors" advisably. Like the French intriguers, these are people who despise our own Republic, who would replace it with another form of government, and who will form any alliance, no matter how unholy, to achieve that end. Remember too that while these are in the main politicians, they are ably abetted by their camp followers in the Press and in the bureaucracy.
Here are the means with which to identify these modern-day traitors to our Republic:
1. The first manifestation of traitors is those who would change our government completely--in other words, replace our representative form of government with a popular one. These are people who talk the most about "the majority of the people" and mean "the majority of the voters." These are people who believe that Al Gore should have won the Presidency because more people voted for him nationwide. These are people who would seek to abolish the Electoral College and replace it with a simple plebiscite. These are people who would talk of running the country and making its laws by popular referendum rather than by popular representation. Above all, these are people who talk about America as a "democracy" rather than as a "republic", mendaciously allowing the inherent rightness of the former to be confused as an end per se, rather than as the process by which we maintain the republic.
2. The next manifestation of traitors is those who would replace our basic freedoms, either by legislation or by regulation. The most common of these can be found among people who consider the Constitution a "living document", one whose terms may have been applicable when first formulated, but which seem hopelessly archaic now. Thus, for example, we get approval for curtailment of political expression under the guise of "campaign finance reform", curtailment of our right to be armed under the guise of "protecting the children", "ending violence" or "terrorist threat". Thus too, we get approval for principles and policies that are inimical to the future welfare of the Republic which are not only faulty in philosophy, but have been proven to be failures in practice: confiscatory taxes levied only on "the rich" through the politics of envy; State confiscation of private property for "the public good"; and regulatory oppression of rights where legislative oppression is impossible to implement. Thus, for example, while the right to bear arms is entrenched in the Constitution as a universal right, the city of Chicago can ban firearms by local fiat.
3. Another manifestation of traitors is to create disunity in the republic. In a country like France, which had an ancient culture and a single language, disunity had to be created and maintained through the political process, which as we have seen was inherently unstable. In a (largely) two-party republic like ours, this is more difficult. How then is the traitor able to create and maintain perpetual disunity and instability? By creating social division. Thus we find the common glue of communication, the English language, replaced with a multiplicity of tongues and the concomitant social irritation, all under the guise of "equality". We find likewise our common culture and heritage replaced by a policy of relativism, whereby foreign cultures are as worthy as our own, and therefore our common culture is replaced by a multiplicity of cultures, all in the name of "diversity". Of course, the natural human instinct is for conformity--we do not by nature embrace diversity--so diversity must perforce be imposed on an unwilling populace by legislation and regulation, which engenders yet more resentment and disunity.
4. Finally, we find the manifestation of traitors in those who espouse causes other than (small "r") republican ones: those who call themselves "progressives", "socialists", "communitarians", "populists", "globalists" and so on. Make no mistake about it: all these people want to replace our Republic and its forms with another type of state, one which serves their own ambitions or goals--or, most reprehensibly, the ambitions and goals of those outside our borders. Thus we find little formal opposition to United Nations-mandated land use, under the guise of "international heritage sites". We find support for international (instead of local or national) tax authority under the guise of "uniformity" or "equality" and under the auspices of unelected bodies like the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). And we find support for "open borders", in the final analysis a means whereby the system can be flooded with people who owe no allegiance to our society, our laws, our culture or our heritage. Each one of these is a traitorous activity, for they would surrender our national sovereignty to strangers; aggregate them, and there should be a prima facie case for criminal arraignment, especially if these activities are performed by elected or appointed officials sworn to uphold the Constitution.
We ignore these warnings and lessons at our own peril. Remember, the final objective of our modern-day traitors is no different to that of those traitors in France during the final decades of the Third Republic: they seek to replace the republic with something else. And lest anyone think that simply desiring a different form of government is neither treason nor traitorous, it should be noted that after France was liberated by the Allies in 1944, and after a long and exhaustive trial, Pierre Laval was executed by firing squad.
I made some predictions 6 months ago...Lets see how they did.
Some predictions:
Bush is a one-term President...he will get hammered by the economy. A DemocRAT will win and America will be the U(seless)Ns bitch for another 8 years.
This is looking more and more true everyday. It's still pickem on the DemocRAT tho. It's not so much the economy, but the useless diddling with the "War on Terror" that is driving him down. He is spending money like water to entitlements and sounding like a fucking liberal. He will do whatever he can to get re-fucking-elected.
Iran will self-destruct from within...the majority of the population is young and chafing under theocratic control.
Well there were student protests, but by the middle of July over 4000 had been arrested, rallys were prohibited, and the mullahs were making an effort to calm the students down. It's been quiet for 2 months (at least in the media). Recent local concerns seem to be a suspected government coverup in the murder of a popular Iranian female photojournalist and the feeling that Iran is the center of the world's critical eye. Still the religious center of world jihad.
Syria, the Sudan, and Saudi will be "werry, werry, qwiet" for a while (heh, heh, heh, I'm hunting wahabits!).
Syria, the Sudan, and Saudi have been quiet, but haven't changed their tune. They are both sending fighters into Iraq to kill Americans. An islamofag was captured and tricked into thinking he was being turned over to the Saudis for interrogation. He was overjoyed and gave the Saudi (CIA) poseurs phone numbers of Saudi princes to contact who would "explain everything". Quite a shock, but those three princes died shortly under mysterious circumstances. Sudanese cannon cockers are still found all over the world.
Israel will balk (again) over the roadmap proposed for mid-east peace. When they finally agree--the Palestinians will balk (again).
Who didn't see this one coming. After the incredible Paliscumian bombing the peace train derailed, Isrealis have been killing Hamas left and right, and are mobilizing an all out fucking blitzkreg on Gaza. About time.
America will be hated throughout the world...and 2.3 million of the world's best and brightest will apply to immigrate each year to the US.
Still hated, and still the destination of Choice.
The US should (but won't) leave NoKo to SoKo, China, and Japan to handle. All we need do with this asshat is leave him alone. As his sewer of a country self-destructs, Lil' Kim will need a war to stay in power.
NoKo admits it has nukes, is planning a test, pretty much says fruck-ru to Russia, SoKo, China, Japan, and the US. It is becoming painfully obvious that the US is going to roll-over on this one and bribe the pinheaded little fuck...leave him ALONE...unless he starts selling arms to the jihad...then just kill him.
Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change
Editorial – 27 March, 2002
The Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age: Their Untimely Demise and Welcome Resurrection
The Medieval Warm Period and subsequent Little Ice Age - which followed hard on the heels of the Roman Warm Period and Dark Ages Cold Period (McDermott et al., 2001) - were long considered to be classic examples of the warm and cold phases of a millennial-scale climate oscillation that has reverberated seemingly endlessly throughout glacial and interglacial periods alike (Oppo et al., 1998; McManus et al., 1999), as well as across the early Pleistocene (Raymo et al., 1998).
In addition to their intrinsic historical value, the last of these warm and cold periods have particular relevance to the highly-charged global warming debate. If there was truly a period near the beginning of the past millennium when temperatures were as warm as they are presently, for example, but when the atmosphere's CO2 concentration was about 90 ppm lower than it is today, and if that period was followed by a several-centuries-long cold period with essentially no decline in the air's CO2 content, there would be little basis for invoking the 20th-century increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration as a reason for the planet's return to the degree of warmth it had experienced a millennium earlier, as Idso (1988) argued nearly 15 years ago and Broecker (1999, 2001) has reminded us more recently.
Faced with this dilemma, the political forces that view the theory of CO2-induced global warming as a mighty lever for moving the nations of the earth in the direction of global governance - via the establishment of an entity with power to regulate nearly all forms of human enterprise in the guise of protecting the planet from the climatic consequences of CO2-producing activities - realized they had a serious problem on their hands. To keep their political juggernaut alive, therefore, they had to "deep-six" the concept of both the Medieval Warm Period and the Little Ice Age, in order to imbue their program with a semblance of rationality; and they saw the perfect opportunity to do so in a pair of papers published by Mann et al. (1998, 1999).
These papers presented an entirely new perspective on earth's climatic history over the past thousand years, which was different from what had previously been accepted by even the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Houghton et al., 1990). Whereas IPCC documents up to at least 1995 had faithfully depicted the existence of both the Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age, the new history - derived from a few select proxy temperature records - showed, in the words of Esper et al. (2002), "an almost linear temperature decrease from the year 1000 to the late 19th century, followed by a dramatic and unprecedented temperature increase to the present time," which is now routinely described as "the warmest period of the past millennium."
Thus died the Medieval Warm Period; and with its passing, the Little Ice Age also succumbed. With not much else to block their progress, the political forces behind the Kyoto Protocol consequently began to press forward in a major way; and they would probably have quickly achieved their goals, but for the stubborn resolve of a U.S. president who refused to cooperate. Now, however, thanks to the meticulous and careful work of Esper et al., both of these unique climatic periods have been resurrected, and they stand as stronger and healthier witnesses than ever to the intellectual bankruptcy of the climate-alarmist claim that the warming of the past century is CO2-induced.
So what did Esper et al. do? In the simplest of terms, they employed an analysis technique that allows accurate long-term climatic trends to be derived from individual tree-ring series that are of much shorter duration than the potential climatic oscillation being studied; and they applied this technique to over 1200 tree-ring series derived from 14 different locations scattered over the extratropical region of the Northern Hemisphere.
Two separate chronologies were thus developed: one from trees that exhibited age trends that are weakly linear and one from trees with age trends that are more nonlinear. The results, in their words, were "two nearly independent tree-ring chronologies covering the years 800-1990," which were "very similar over the past ~1200 years." These tree-ring histories were then calibrated against Northern Hemispheric (0 to 90°N) mean annual instrumental temperatures from the period 1856-1980 to make them compatible with the temperature reconstructions of Mann et al.
What do the results show? The biggest difference between the Esper et al. and Mann et al. temperature histories is the degree to which the coolness of the Little Ice Age is expressed. The Little Ice Age is much more evident in the record of Esper et al., and its significantly lower temperatures are what make the Medieval Warm Period stand out more dramatically in their temperature reconstruction. Also, they note that "the warmest period covers the interval 950-1045, with the peak occurring around 990." This finding, they say, "suggests that past comparisons of the Medieval Warm Period with the 20th-century warming back to the year 1000 have not included all of the Medieval Warm Period and, perhaps, not even its warmest interval."
In commenting on these findings in a companion "perspective" paper, Briffa and Osborn (2002) make several interesting and important points. First, they acknowledge that "the last millennium was much cooler than previously interpreted" and that "an early period of warmth in the late 10th and early 11th centuries is more pronounced than in previous large-scale reconstructions." In fact, the Esper et al. record makes it abundantly clear that the peak warmth of the Medieval Warm Period was fully equivalent to the warmth of the present.
This fact reaffirms the point raised by Idso (1988), i.e., that there is no need to invoke CO2-induced global warming as a cause of the planet's recovery from the global chill of the Little Ice Age. "Since something other than atmospheric CO2 variability was ... clearly responsible for bringing the planet into the Little Ice Age," as he phrased it, "something other than atmospheric CO2 variability may just as well have brought the planet out of it." And that something else, as suggested by Esper et al., is probably "the 1000- to 2000-year climate rhythm (1470 ± 500 years) in the North Atlantic, which may be related to solar-forced changes in thermohaline circulation," as has recently been described in compelling detail by Bond et al. (2001) and which we heartily endorse.
Briffa and Osborn also note that Esper et al.'s record clearly shows that the warming of the 20th century was actually "a continuation of a trend that began at the start of the 19th century." In addition, the Esper et al. record indicates that the Northern Hemisphere warmed in a consistent near-linear fashion over this entire 200-year period, contrary to the climate-alarmist claim of unprecedented warming over only the last century. Hence, the new data do great damage to the claim that CO2-enhanced greenhouse warming is responsible for the temperature increase that brought us out of the Little Ice Age, since the increase in the atmosphere's CO2 concentration over this period was highly non-linear, rising by only 10 to 15 ppm over the 19th century, but by fully 70 to 75 ppm over the 20th century, with no analogous increase in the latter period's rate of warming.
Finally, Briffa and Osborn say that "we need to know why it was once so warm and then so cool, before we can say whether 21st-century warming is likely to be nearer to the top or the bottom of the latest IPCC [predicted temperature] range." Actually, we probably already know the answer to this question: the extremes of warmth and coolness to which they refer were likely caused by "solar-forced changes in thermohaline circulation," as suggested by Esper et al. and described by Bond et al. In any event, it is becoming ever more clear with each passing day that these significant climatic changes were not caused by changes in the air's CO2 content.
Dr. Sherwood B. IdsoPresident Dr. Keith E. IdsoVice President
